When ALL vehicles on the road are automated.
In theory they will interconnect and eliminate accident, injury and death. At what point and under what authority are the remaining millions of NON automated vehicles declared illegal and obsolete and who compensates those owners for the value of their assets. I checked the value of a used 2011 Nissan Leaf recently. With 43k miles, it's worth $5500. Basically $5k annual depreciation. Not many can afford that kind of cost per mile, regardless of the fuel source. Not worth the replacement battery cost, so figure worth scrap. One glitch away from automated mass murder. Predictions of an automated traffic system, with the replacement of every one of the 600 million vehicles on a planetary scale, with flawless interfacing of every one of those 600 million vehicles. 50-100 years at a cost approaching the current worldwide accumulated debt. Who wants to voulenteer to be the last casualty in the next war? |
Automated systems involving mass transit of large numbers of people have multiple redundancies to prevent a simple failed connection from becoming something that becomes a mass casualty event.
As a transitional system, I doubt it will ever be implemented. I DO believe mass transit may replace the current infrastructure with various levels of movement based on proximity. The current vehicle designs use far too much materials and other resources for their purpose and many better alternatives exist. |
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This will happen, maybe quicker than expected, maybe longer, regardless of anyone's opinions, incredible changes are happening. I mean we didn't think someone racist who threatened to ban 1,600,000,000 people for no apparent reason other than their religious beliefs could ever be supported by a Nation and elected President, but hey, it's a strange World sometimes.
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The new battle cry is "You can have my human controlled car when you can pry it from my cold dead hands." That's assuming you can get to my body with the Jaws of Life after a major car accident. |
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Interesting time to be alive. When horses were about to be displaced by cars the internet forums at that time were likely talking about the same thing. |
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Elon Musk is glad to sell you a car. Just fork over 100 grand and accept 10 grand a year in depreciation, if you're lucky.
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